Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000103 0.000115 0.000127 0.000140 0.000155 0.000172 0.000191
2025-12-07 0.000086 0.000100 0.000117 0.000137 0.000162 0.000189 0.000224
2025-12-14 0.000075 0.000092 0.000113 0.000139 0.000172 0.000211 0.000263
2025-12-21 0.000066 0.000084 0.000108 0.000139 0.000180 0.000231 0.000302
2025-12-28 0.000058 0.000078 0.000103 0.000138 0.000186 0.000249 0.000339
2026-01-04 0.000053 0.000073 0.000101 0.000140 0.000195 0.000272 0.000385
2026-01-11 0.000048 0.000069 0.000097 0.000140 0.000202 0.000291 0.000429
2026-01-18 0.000044 0.000065 0.000094 0.000140 0.000208 0.000309 0.000471
2026-01-25 0.000041 0.000061 0.000091 0.000139 0.000213 0.000326 0.000512
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000058 0.000089 0.000139 0.000219 0.000344 0.000558
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000055 0.000085 0.000137 0.000222 0.000358 0.000597
2026-02-15 0.000032 0.000052 0.000083 0.000136 0.000226 0.000374 0.000642
2026-02-22 0.000030 0.000050 0.000081 0.000136 0.000232 0.000394 0.000696
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000047 0.000078 0.000135 0.000235 0.000410 0.000743
2026-03-08 0.000026 0.000046 0.000078 0.000137 0.000245 0.000437 0.000813
2026-03-15 0.000025 0.000044 0.000076 0.000137 0.000251 0.000459 0.000878
2026-03-22 0.000023 0.000042 0.000074 0.000137 0.000255 0.000477 0.000936
2026-03-29 0.000022 0.000041 0.000074 0.000139 0.000265 0.000506 0.001018
2026-04-05 0.000021 0.000039 0.000073 0.000139 0.000271 0.000529 0.001091
2026-04-12 0.000020 0.000038 0.000071 0.000138 0.000276 0.000550 0.001160
2026-04-19 0.000019 0.000036 0.000069 0.000138 0.000279 0.000569 0.001227
2026-04-26 0.000018 0.000035 0.000068 0.000138 0.000285 0.000592 0.001305
2026-05-03 0.000017 0.000034 0.000066 0.000136 0.000286 0.000606 0.001366